March 7 (GMT)
- 58,228 new cases and 1,515 new deaths in the United States
- 69,240 new cases and 1,836 new deaths in the United States
- 68,658 new cases and 2,049 new deaths in the United States
- 263 new cases and 38 new deaths in Ecuador
- 67,225 new cases and 2,378 new deaths in the United States
- 6,385 new cases and 315 new deaths in the United Kingdom. Note: "Public Health Scotland has improved its method for linking daily confirmed COVID-19 cases with deaths reported through the National Records of Scotland. As a result, an extra 172 deaths were identified as having occurred within 28 days of a first positive test result since the start of the outbreak. These have now been added to the cumulative totals for Scotland and the UK." [source] [source]
- 57,543 new cases and 2,091 new deaths in the United States
- 6,484 new cases and 192 new deaths in Spain. "The Community of Catalonia has eliminated duplicate cases. These duplicates were generated by updating the information of cases already registered in the SiViEs computer system with a code of different identification than originally assigned. The data series have been corrected." [source]
- 55,181 new cases and 1,484 new deaths in the United States
- United States President Trump: Mobilizing military to 'rapidly' distribute coronavirus vaccine when it’s ready [source]. The announcement comes as the Department of Defense has awarded a contract for prefilled syringes for future COVID-19 vaccine: more than 100 million syringes for distribution across the United States by year-end 2020, with the "ultimate production goal of over 500 million prefilled syringes (doses) in 2021." [source]
- A 5-year-old died in New York City on Thursday from what appeared to be a rare syndrome linked to the coronavirus that causes life-threatening inflammation in children [learn more] [study], New York State Governor Andrew M. Cuomo said [source] This is at least the second death reported worldwide so far after that of a 14-year-old boy in England, according to a study published on May 7 in the journal Lancet [source]. On April 27, the UK NHS had alerted about the new illness, with at least 12 children in the UK requiring intensive care, and an estimated "4.5 cases for every 100,000 children under the age of 18 in the UK" [source]. One of the first reported cases of the illness in the US, a healthy 12-yea-old in Louisiana, almost died a few weeks ago [source]. Between April 17 and May 1, 15 children were hospitalized in New Yor City for the new illness [source]
The Future of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Lessons Learned from Pandemic Influenza, by Moore, Lipsitch, Barry, Osterholm - COVID-19: The CIDRAP Viewpoint, April 30, 2020: [source pdf] [about]
- The length of the pandemic will likely be 18 to 24 months
- Given the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2, 60% to 70% of the population may need to be immune to reach a critical threshold of herd immunity to halt the pandemic
- This may be complicated by the fact that we don’t yet know the duration of immunity to natural SARS-CoV-2 infection. Based on seasonal coronaviruses, we can anticipate that even if immunity declines after exposure, there may still be some protection against disease severity and reduced contagiousness, but this remains to be assessed for SARS-CoV-2.
- Scenario 1: a series of repetitive smaller waves that occur through the summer and then consistently over a 1-to 2-year period, gradually diminishing sometime in 2021
- Scenario 2: a larger wave in the fall or winter of 2020 and one or more smaller subsequent waves in 2021
- Scenario 3: a “slow burn” of ongoing transmission and case occurrence, but without a clear wave pattern.
- WHO: "no evidence that people who have recovered from COVID-19 and have antibodies are protected from a second infection" [source]
- 1 in 4 New York City residents test positive for antibodies [source]
- USA: 15,400 excess deaths (compared to the year 2019) were recorded in March through April 4, 2020. During the same period, 8,128 coronavirus deaths were reported. The difference is 7,272 deaths (89% more) [source]
- NHS England alerts that in the “last three weeks, there has been an apparent rise in the number of children of all ages presenting with a multi-system inflammatory state requiring intensive care" [source]
- ARTICLE: Safeguard Nature to Reduce the Risk of Future Pandemics
- HISTORY: San Francisco had the 1918 flu under control. And then it lifted the restrictions.
Archived: February 2020 Coronavirus News Updates
- On January 31, the first 2 novel coronavirus cases in the UK,  the first 2 cases in Russia,  and the first case in Sweden and in Spain were reported. Canada reported its 4th case.
- On Jan. 31, the United States
- declared Coronavirus a Public Health Emergency
- issued 14 days quarantine rules for US citizens entering the US from China (mandatory if entering from the Hubei province).
- issued an order to deny entry to foreigners who have traveled to China within the past two weeks.
- On January 30, the novel coronavirus total case count surpassed that for SARS (which affected 8,096 people worldwide).
- On January 30, the World Health Organization declared the coronavirus outbreak a Global Public Health Emergency.
- On January 30 CDC confirmed the first US case of human to human transmission.
- Germany, Japan, Vietnam and the United States have reported cases in patients who didn't personally visit China, but contracted the virus from someone else who had visited Wuhan, China. These cases of human to human transmission are the most worrisome, according to the WHO.
- Wuhan (the city where the virus originated) is the largest city in Central China, with a population of over 11 million people. The city, on January 23, shut down transport links. Following Wuhan lock down, the city of Huanggang was also placed in quarantine, and the city of Ezhou closed its train stations. This means than 18 million people have been placed in isolation. The World Health Organization (WHO) said cutting off a city as large as Wuhan is "unprecedented in public health history." and praised China for its incredible commitment to isolate the virus and minimize the spread to other countries.
Age and conditions of Coronavirus cases
- The median age of cases detected outside of China is 45 years, ranging from 2 to 74 years.
- 71% of cases were male.
- People of all ages can be infected by the novel coronavirus COVID-19.
- Older people, and people with pre-existing medical conditions (such as asthma, diabetes, heart disease) appear to be more vulnerable to becoming severely ill with the virus.
Patient who died in the Philippines was a 44-year old maleThe patient who died in the Philippines on February 2, in what was the first death occurring outside of China, was a 44-year-old Chinese man from Wuhan who was admitted on Jan. 25 after experiencing fever, cough, and sore throat, before developing severe pneumonia. In the last few days, “the patient was stable and showed signs of improvement, however, the condition of the patient deteriorated within his last 24 hours resulting in his demise." according to the Philippine Department of Health.
Serious Cases of 30 year old patients in France
Age and Sex of the first deaths as reported by the China National Health Commission (NHC)
WHO Risk Assessment: Global Emergency
- Every year an estimated 290,000 to 650,000 people die in the world due to complications from seasonal influenza (flu) viruses. This figure corresponds to 795 to 1,781 deaths per day due to the seasonal flu.
- SARS (November 2002 to July 2003): was a coronavirus that originated from Beijing, China, spread to 29 countries, and resulted in 8,096 people infected with 774 deaths (fatality rate of 9.6%). Considering that SARS ended up infecting 5,237 people in mainland China, Wuhan Coronavirus surpassed SARS on January 29, 2020, when Chinese officials confirmed 5,974 cases of the novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV). One day later, on January 30, 2020 the novel coronavirus cases surpassed even the 8,096 cases worldwide which were the final SARS count in 2003.
- MERS (in 2012) killed 858 people out of the 2,494 infected (fatality rate of 34.4%).
Coronavirus Worldometer Sections:
- Novel coronavirus outbreak may reach peak in one week or about 10 days: expert - Xinhua, Jan. 28, 2020
- China’s Xi Jinping pledges to overcome ‘devil’ coronavirus - Financial Times, Jan. 28, 2020
- Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China - The Lancet, Jan. 24, 2020
- The Age, Sex and Symptoms of China’s Coronavirus Victims - Bloomberg, Jan. 23, 2020
- Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) situation reports - World Health Organization (WHO)
- 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in the U.S. -. U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
- Outbreak Notification - National Health Commission (NHC) of the People’s Republic of China
- Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) - Australian Government Department of Health
- Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early estimation of epidemiological parameters and epidemic prediction - Jonathan M. Read et al, Jan. 23,2020.
- Early Transmissibility Assessment of a Novel Coronavirus in Wuhan, China - Maimuna Majumder and Kenneth D. Mandl, Harvard University - Computational Health Informatics Program - Posted: 24 Jan 2020 Last revised: 27 Jan 2020
- Report 3: Transmissibility of 2019-nCoV - 25 January 2020 - Imperial College London
- Case fatality risk of influenza A(H1N1pdm09): a systematic review - Epidemiology. Nov. 24, 2013
- A novel coronavirus outbreak of global health concern - Chen Want et al. The Lancet. January 24, 2020
- Symptoms of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) - CDC
- China's National Health Commission news conference on coronavirus - Al Jazeera. January 26, 2020
- Wuhan lockdown 'unprecedented', shows commitment to contain virus: WHO representative in China - Reuters. January 23, 2020
- Statement on the meeting of the International Health Regulations (2005) Emergency Committee regarding the outbreak of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) - WHO, January 23, 2020
- International Health Regulations Emergency Committee on novel coronavirus in China - WHO, January 30, 2020
- Human-to-human transmission of Wuhan virus outside of China, confirmed in Germany, Japan and Vietnam - The Online Citizen, Jan. 29, 2020
- Who: "Live from Geneva on the new #coronavirus outbreak"
- CDC Confirms Person-to-Person Spread of New Coronavirus in the United States - CDC Press Release, Jan. 30, 2020
- CMO confirms cases of coronavirus in England - CMO, UK, Jan. 31, 2020
- Coronavirus in France: what you need to know - The Local France, Jan. 31, 2020
- First two persons infected with coronavirus identified in Russia - Tass, Jan. 31, 2020
- Updated understanding of the outbreak of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019nCoV) in Wuhan, China - Journal of Medical Virology, Jan. 29, 2020
- Estimating the effective reproduction number of the 2019-nCoV in China - Zhidong Cao et al., Jan. 29, 2020
- Preliminary estimation of the basic reproduction number of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China, from 2019 to 2020: A data-driven analysis in the early phase of the outbreak - Jan. 30, 2020
- Coronavirus: Window of opportunity to act, World Health Organization says - BBC, Feb,\. 4, 2020
- Clinical Characteristics of 138 Hospitalized Patients With 2019 Novel Coronavirus–Infected Pneumonia in Wuhan, China - Wang et. al, JAMA, Feb. 7, 2020