May 5 (GMT)
- 10,386 new cases and 221 new deaths in the United States
- 42,354 new cases and 853 new deaths in the United States
- 40,454 new cases and 460 new deaths in the United States
- 3 new cases in Liberia
- 36,966 new cases and 323 new deaths in the United States
The Future of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Lessons Learned from Pandemic Influenza, by Moore, Lipsitch, Barry, Osterholm - COVID-19: The CIDRAP Viewpoint, April 30, 2020: [source pdf] [about]
- The length of the pandemic will likely be 18 to 24 months
- Given the transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2, 60% to 70% of the population may need to be immune to reach a critical threshold of herd immunity to halt the pandemic
- This may be complicated by the fact that we don’t yet know the duration of immunity to natural SARS-CoV-2 infection. Based on seasonal coronaviruses, we can anticipate that even if immunity declines after exposure, there may still be some protection against disease severity and reduced contagiousness, but this remains to be assessed for SARS-CoV-2.
- Scenario 1: a series of repetitive smaller waves that occur through the summer and then consistently over a 1-to 2-year period, gradually diminishing sometime in 2021
- Scenario 2: a larger wave in the fall or winter of 2020 and one or more smaller subsequent waves in 2021
- Scenario 3: a “slow burn” of ongoing transmission and case occurrence, but without a clear wave pattern.
- 39 new cases in Ghana
- 49,835 new cases and 727 new deaths in the United States
- 59,998 new cases and 784 new deaths in the United States
- 59,428 new cases and 891 new deaths in the United States
NOTE: A major update involving Recovered data for France and Belgium (previously showing only patients released from the hospital) as well as Netherlands, Sweden, and Ireland has been performed today on Worldometer. In the absence of Government data released for these countries, we computed an estimated recovered value based on a comparative analysis of recovered data officially released by other European countries and on studies (including WHO reports) involving recovery rates and recovery duration. The estimated recovered value is shown in italics on the main table.
- United States President Trump: Mobilizing military to 'rapidly' distribute coronavirus vaccine when it’s ready [source]. The announcement comes as the Department of Defense has awarded a contract for prefilled syringes for future COVID-19 vaccine: more than 100 million syringes for distribution across the United States by year-end 2020, with the "ultimate production goal of over 500 million prefilled syringes (doses) in 2021." [source]
- A 5-year-old died in New York City on Thursday from what appeared to be a rare syndrome linked to the coronavirus that causes life-threatening inflammation in children [learn more] [study], New York State Governor Andrew M. Cuomo said [source] This is at least the second death reported worldwide so far after that of a 14-year-old boy in England, according to a study published on May 7 in the journal Lancet [source]. On April 27, the UK NHS had alerted about the new illness, with at least 12 children in the UK requiring intensive care, and an estimated "4.5 cases for every 100,000 children under the age of 18 in the UK" [source]. One of the first reported cases of the illness in the US, a healthy 12-yea-old in Louisiana, almost died a few weeks ago [source]. Between April 17 and May 1, 15 children were hospitalized in New Yor City for the new illness [source]
- WHO: "no evidence that people who have recovered from COVID-19 and have antibodies are protected from a second infection" [source]
- 1 in 4 New York City residents test positive for antibodies [source]
- USA: 15,400 excess deaths (compared to the year 2019) were recorded in March through April 4, 2020. During the same period, 8,128 coronavirus deaths were reported. The difference is 7,272 deaths (89% more) [source]
- NHS England alerts that in the “last three weeks, there has been an apparent rise in the number of children of all ages presenting with a multi-system inflammatory state requiring intensive care" [source]
- ARTICLE: Safeguard Nature to Reduce the Risk of Future Pandemics
- HISTORY: San Francisco had the 1918 flu under control. And then it lifted the restrictions.